Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.000181 0.000201 0.000223 0.000247 0.000275 0.000306 0.000341
2025-03-16 0.000138 0.000165 0.000196 0.000236 0.000286 0.000345 0.000421
2025-03-23 0.000117 0.000147 0.000186 0.000237 0.000306 0.000394 0.000518
2025-03-30 0.000105 0.000139 0.000183 0.000246 0.000334 0.000455 0.000638
2025-04-06 0.000092 0.000125 0.000172 0.000240 0.000342 0.000488 0.000721
2025-04-13 0.000079 0.000112 0.000157 0.000228 0.000337 0.000501 0.000776
2025-04-20 0.000072 0.000105 0.000153 0.000229 0.000351 0.000543 0.000881
2025-04-27 0.000068 0.000101 0.000152 0.000234 0.000372 0.000598 0.001015
2025-05-04 0.000063 0.000095 0.000146 0.000233 0.000381 0.000634 0.001121
2025-05-11 0.000059 0.000091 0.000143 0.000234 0.000395 0.000681 0.001254
2025-05-18 0.000054 0.000087 0.000139 0.000232 0.000404 0.000717 0.001372
2025-05-25 0.000051 0.000083 0.000136 0.000233 0.000415 0.000761 0.001511
2025-06-01 0.000048 0.000079 0.000132 0.000231 0.000425 0.000804 0.001662
2025-06-08 0.000043 0.000073 0.000123 0.000222 0.000418 0.000814 0.001742
2025-06-15 0.000041 0.000070 0.000121 0.000223 0.000432 0.000869 0.001938
2025-06-22 0.000039 0.000069 0.000122 0.000231 0.000461 0.000960 0.002236
2025-06-29 0.000037 0.000065 0.000117 0.000226 0.000462 0.000989 0.002388
2025-07-06 0.000033 0.000060 0.000109 0.000214 0.000447 0.000982 0.002444
2025-07-13 0.000032 0.000058 0.000108 0.000215 0.000460 0.001040 0.002690
2025-07-20 0.000031 0.000057 0.000108 0.000220 0.000483 0.001126 0.003033
2025-07-27 0.000029 0.000055 0.000105 0.000218 0.000490 0.001173 0.003273
2025-08-03 0.000028 0.000053 0.000104 0.000220 0.000505 0.001244 0.003602
2025-08-10 0.000026 0.000051 0.000101 0.000218 0.000512 0.001294 0.003878